News & Analysis

Bitcoin ready for its next leg down?

16 November 2022 By Adam Kahlberg


Bitcoin has seen its price plummet after a volatile week largely due to the collapse of Cryptocurrency exchange, FTX. The price of the Bitcoin has fallen to levels not seen since November 2020. The price is now showing signs that it may be in a short-term consolidation before it may sell off again. The downward move may be amplified, especially if it is supported by a news catalyst such as another cryptocurrency exchange going bust or other institutions become entangled in the FTX situation.



After the price of Bitcoin had an initial downward spike in selling where the price broke through the crucial $17,000 support level, the price has been consolidating in a bearish pennant pattern. This pattern is categorised by a tightening of its price range and an overall downward trend in volume. Although, the volume is not perfectly downward sloping, through the duration of the pennant it has been for the most part decreasing. If the pattern plays out correct, the sellers will soon overpower the buyers and push the price through the bottom part of the pennant signaling the next sell down.


If the price can break towards the downside out of the pennant and break through the recent lows, the next major support level is at $13,000 USD and then $10,000 after that. The trade if it follows through also represents relatively good risk reward of almost 3.5:1. However it is important to remember that Bitcoin has been exceptionally oversold and may struggle to move further down so good risk management is essential. With so much attention around cryptocurrency the elevated volatility may continue in the short-term future.

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