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After Wednesday’s explosive up move on what was seen as dovish comments from Fed chair Jerome Powell, Thursdays US session was more of a consolidation ahead of today’s all-important NFP figure.
Us indexes were mixed, with falling treasury yields favouring Tech and hurting banks , seeing the Nasdaq as the only index to eke out a gain for the session.
The S&P 500 did manage to hold the important 200 day Moving Average which it surged through on Wednesday, this has been stiff resistance on previous rallies and bodes well for market bulls.
US 10 year yields continued to tumble as the market dovishly re-prices Fed interest rate expectations, sinking below 3.5% at one stage in the session and putting pressure on the USD.
This drop in treasury yields saw a big win for precious metals with Gold and Silver soaring, XAUUSD breaking through the psychological 1800 level and testing the resistance from the highs set in August.
Bitcoin tested the top of its $16k – 17k range, which it has been meandering in since the FTX fraud shock in November.
Today’s economic announcements will be dominated by the Non-Farm payroll report released an hour before the US stock market opens. A strong figure of 200k new jobs created has been forecast, but some pundits are predicting a much lower figure based on the way the rates markets are trading and other indicators, if that comes to pass expect a steep rally in equities on the “bad news is good news” narrative.
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