News & Analysis

Week Ahead :FOMC meeting looms as next major catalyst

30 January 2023 By Adam Kahlberg


All eyes will be on the Federal Reserve this week as they meet again to decide on the next set of interest rate hikes. The Fed is expected to raise rates by 25 bps with the accompanying statement providing important insight as to their sentiment going forward. The question to be answered will be whether a recession will be avoided, or inflation is still too high and needs to be tapered.


In the equities market, the Nasdaq had another powerful week as it continues to climb higher to begin the year. The Index rose by 4.75% and is now just sitting below its 50-week moving average which has been a stubborn resistance level. The Dow Jones was a little less exuberant as it rose by just 1.81% and the S&P 500 rose by 2.47% breaking through its own 50 week moving average. Across the globe, the ASX200 was a little weaker than previous weeks, although as it enters territory near its all-time high with an unsure market, it may face some resistance in the short term.


The price of Brent Oil was unable to reclaim its 50-week moving average closing the week down 1.84% to $86 as is consolidates and Gold has had another mixed week as is continues to struggle break above $2000 per ounce.



Stocks In the Spotlight


Arufura Rare Earths, (ARU)


Arufura is one of the most advanced rare earths juniors racing to produce high quality NdPr at scalable level outside of China. The company owns the Nolans Project in the Northern Territory just 135km south of Allice Springs. The company has outlined the economics of its project with a NPV of Two Billion Dollars and potentially lifting the NPV to closer to 4.2 Billion dollars in best case scenario. With strong off take partners in automobile manufacturers Hyundai and Kia, the company represents a tier one project with significant upside and is hoping to begin construction in 2023. The current share price is $0.565 which is its 12-month high.



Technology One, (TNE)


Technology One is a SAAS software business that supports organisations interact with their customers and employees. The company operates in wide a range of sectors and operates with a high level security over its data. The company much like the rest of the technology sector had a difficult 2022. Although, its relative performance made it one of the better companies. The company has recently seen its share price rise to all-time highs and is currently trading at $14.82. This has been somewhat due to the recovery in the sector and due to its underlying financial performance. In the 2022FY, the company increased its revenue by 18% to $369 million and its NPAT to 22% for $88.8 million.



IGO Ltd, (IGO)


IGO is a leading nickel, copper, and cobalt mining company. With the EV battery revolution taking over, the company is positioning itself to be a leader in a space that should be expanding and require immense investment in the next 10-20 years. IGO recently entered a joint venture with Tianqi Lithium corporation to takeover Essential metals a junior lithium explorer to expand its suite of products. This would allow to be one of the most diversified miners in the country exclusive of companies such as BHP and Rio Tinto. The company’s share price also received a boost from a recent spike in copper spot prices. The share price is currently trading at $15.81.






Weekly Ex Dividend dates

30 January

BOQ – Bank of Queensland

PCI – Perpetual Credit Income Trust

GCI – Gryphon Capital Income trust

DJW – Djerriwarrh Investments Ltd

TCF – 360 Capital Enhanced Income Fund


31 January

KKC – KKR Credit Income Fund

CVC – CVC Limited

MXT – Metrics Master Income Trust

MOT – Metrics Income opportunities Trust


1 February

BHYB – Betashares Australian Major Banks Hybrids INDEX ETF

AGVT – Betashares Australian Government Bond ETF

PLUS – Vaneck Australian Corporate Bond Plus ETF

EZL – EUROZ Hartleys Group

GCAP – Vaneck Bentham GL Cap Se Active ETF (Managed Fund)

FLOT – Vaneck Floating rate ETF

EBND – Vaneck Emerging Inc Opportunities Active ETF

NBI – NB Global Income Trust

AMH – Amcil Ltd

HCRD – Betahsares interest rate hedged Aus Corp Bond ETF

CRED – Betashares Australian Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF

BNDS – Betashares Westn Asset Aus Bond Fund

PGG – Partners Group Global Income Fund

SUBD – Vaneck Australian Subordinated Debt ETF

AAA – Betashares High Interest Cash ETF

QPON – Betashares Australian bank Senior Floating rate Bond ETF

OZBD – Betashares Australian Composite Bond ETF

HVST – Betashares Australian Dividend Harvester Fund


2 February

AFI – Australian Foundation Investment Company







 Key Economic Events -Australian Eastern Standard Time






12:30am – CAD GDP m/m

2:00am – USD CB Consumer Confidence

8:45am – NZD Employment Change q/q

8:45am – NZD Unemployment Rate



12:15am – USD ADP Non-Farm Employment Change

2:00am – USD FOMC Statement

2:00am – USD Federal Funds rate

2:00am – USDFOMC Press Conference

11:00pm – GBP BOE Monetary Policy Report

11:00pm – GBP MPC Official Bank rate Votes

11:00pm – GBP monetary Policy Statement

11:00pm – GBP Official bank rate




12:15am – EUR Main Refinancing rate

12:15am – EUR Monetary Policy Statement

12:45am – EUR ECB Press Conference




12:30 am – USD Average Hourly Earnings m/m

12:30 am – USD Non-Farm Employment Change

12:30 am – USD Unemployment Rate

2:00am – USD ISM Services PMI


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