Economic Updates

Economic Updates

US equities and bonds drop ahead of key US CPI figure and Rate-hike odds rise

US equity markets were jittery on Tuesday  as traders await todays closely watched inflation figures out of the US. All major Indices declined with the rate and risk sensitive Nasdaq taking the biggest hit dropping 1.2%, selloffs in heavyweight Tesla (TSLA) and Nvidia (NVDIA) created further pressure for the tech index. Todays core and headline...

August 10, 2022
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Bitcoin showing signs of a reversal.

    Bitcoin has seen a large tumble in its price since it reached its peak of $70,000, however there are signs that the price may be ready to break out of its downtrend.   Background With rising inflation and a tense geopolitical climate, growth equities and risk assets have felt the pinch and Bitcoin has been right in the...

August 9, 2022
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BNPL sector showing signs of a reversal after monstrous selloff

    The Buy Now Pay Later, (BNPL) sector has seen a resurgence after a long and brutal sell-off. The reason for, much of the resurgence is not related to any specific catalyst but rather, changing sentiment within the broader market. The sector rose significantly before and during the Covid-19 pandemic. However, as the pandemic came...

August 8, 2022
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Cyclical assets stumble on hawkish Fedspeak and BoE recession forecast

US stock Indices were mixed and ultimately little changed overnight with growth concerns taking centre stage after the Bank of England’s sustained recession forecast and Fed governor Mester again reiterating the central banks resolve in bring down inflation. Mester stated that she sees it as not unreasonable to see a 75bps hike in September and e...

August 5, 2022
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Alibaba posts better-than-expected results

  Alibaba Group Holdings Limited (BABA) reported its latest financial results before the market open on Thursday. The Chinese e-commerce giant reported revenue of $30.689 billion for the quarter vs. $30.364 billion expected. Earnings per share were reported at $1.75 per share vs. $1.60 per share expected. Daniel Zhang, Chairman and...

August 5, 2022
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What is going on with Taiwan?

What is going on with Taiwan?   Taiwan is back in the news after US speaker of the house Nancy Pelosi visited the country causing a fiery reaction from the mainland of China.   Historical background   In order to understand the causes of the China/Taiwan tension, some historical perspective is needed. The current te...

August 4, 2022
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USDJPY ready to bounce or retrace further.

USDJPY ready to bounce or retrace further.   The USDJPY has been recently provided great buying opportunities for traders. However, in recent days it has posted its largest drop since beginning the current upward at the beginning of January 2021. The question remains, is this just a standard retracement or is it a symbol of a much bigger...

August 3, 2022
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Volatile US session as risk assets decline on a Fed “re-pivot” and US-China tensions

US equities had a volatile and ultimately negative session as an early rally faded dramatically on the back as a combination of hawkish Fed member comments and geopolitical tensions saw risk assets take a dive. It was a classic risk off session that saw equities, crypto and cyclical currencies take a hit and the safe haven USD rally strongly. Bo...

August 3, 2022
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Reserve Bank of Australia hikes Cash Rate by 0.50%

    The Reserve Bank of Australia, (RBA) has increased the Country’s cash rate by half a percent to combat the rising inflation in its latest cash rate change. The increase was in line with most analyst’s expectations as the RBA continues to fight inflation and bring it back into the 2-3% range. The current forecast from the RBA...

August 2, 2022
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NIO latest delivery numbers announced – the stock is up

NIO Inc. (NIO) reported its latest delivery numbers for July on Monday. The Chinese electric vehicle company delivered 10,052 cars last month – an increase of 26.7% year-over-year. The deliveries in July consisted of: 7,579 premium smart electric SUV’s 2,473 premium smart electric sedans NIO has delivered a total of 227,949 ele...

August 2, 2022
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ExxonMobil exceeds analyst estimates for Q2 – the stock gains

ExxonMobil Corporation (XOM) reported its second quarter financial results before the opening bell on Wall Street on Friday. The oil and gas giant topped Wall Street expectations for the second quarter of 2022. The company reported revenue of $115.681 billion vs. $111.302 billion expected. Earnings per share reported at $4.14 per share vs....

August 1, 2022
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US dollar drops as the economy shrinks by 0.9% for the last quarter.

US economic data revealed last night shows that the country’s GDP has shrunk by 0.9%, although some are remaining positive that a recession may still be avoided. Despite the worrying figures, Federal Reserve Chair, Jerome Powell, outlined his belief that due to low unemployment figures of 3.6% and a strong market for jobs with 11 million job open...

July 29, 2022
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Mastercard beats Wall Street expectations

  Mastercard Incorporated (MA) reported its latest financial results before the opening bell on Wall Street on Thursday. The US financial services company reported revenue of $5.497 billion in Q2, beating analyst estimate of $5.267 billion. Earnings per share reported at $2.56 per share vs. $2.36 per share expected. ''We had strong...

July 29, 2022
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Equities, gold, crypto and oil soar, Dollar dumps as Powell tilts dovish

As expected, the Federal reserve hiked rates 75bp on Wednesday as the Fed battles to control record inflation whilst attempting to avoid a deep recession. Markets were relatively behaving as expected on the decision and statement up until the Fed chair Powell’s presser anyway. Whilst Powell reiterated the Feds mission to tame inflation stateme...

July 28, 2022
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Australian CPI figures increase to 6.1%

The Australian Consumer data was released today with Consumer Price Index rising to 6.1% over the past 12 months. For the quarter, the CPI rose by 1.8% which was 0.1% lower then what analysts expected the figure to be. This was also lower then the 2.1% jump seen in the previous March quarter. The most significant contributors to the increase were n...

July 27, 2022
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