{"id":568778,"date":"2023-08-01T09:00:30","date_gmt":"2023-07-31T23:00:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/?p=568778"},"modified":"2023-10-11T08:40:37","modified_gmt":"2023-10-10T21:40:37","slug":"fx-analysis-usd-catches-a-bid-aud-outperforms-ahead-of-rba-jpy-struggles","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.ltd\/en-svg\/articles\/forex-trading\/fx-analysis-usd-catches-a-bid-aud-outperforms-ahead-of-rba-jpy-struggles\/","title":{"rendered":"FX Analysis &#8211; USD Catches a Bid, AUD outperforms ahead of RBA, JPY struggles"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>USD rallied modestly into month end with DXY pushing to the top of its recent range to again test the big 102 resistance level. The data highlight out of the US was the Chicago PMI figure which rose from the prior 41.5 to 42.8, but missing expectations of 43.3. \u00a0in FedSpeak, \u00a0Governor Goolsbee added little new from the FOMC statement last week stating he is \u201cnot sure when the Fed will be done raising rates and they are making good progress but will let the data guide them\u201d and they may or may not hike in September.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-401954\" src=\"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/dxy.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1670\" height=\"803\" \/><\/p>\n<p>EUR was weighed on by the Dollar strength with EURUSD dipping below the psychological 1.10 level early in the session before finding support at the lower trend line. A bounce on hot inflation data and a strong GDP out of the Eurozone saw EURUSD reclaim the 1.10 level, albeit unconvincingly. Currently, markets are pricing in around a 25-30% probability of a 25bp hike in September, with the ECB being \u201cdata dependant\u201d any and all news regarding inflation out of the EU should see an impact on EUR.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-401955\" src=\"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/eurusd.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1671\" height=\"800\" \/><\/p>\n<p>JPY was markedly weaker to start the week following on from the BoJ meeting on Friday. During the Asian session yesterday, the BoJ offered to buy an unlimited amount of JGBs at a fixed rate in an unscheduled announcement in an effort to defend their new \u201cflexible\u201d yield control limits, a feeling of panic at the Japanese Central Bank saw selling in JPY, with USDJPY heading above 142, looking likely to test the BoJ resolve at the \u201cintervention\u201d zone of 145 in the near future.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-401952\" src=\"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/usdjpy.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1669\" height=\"802\" \/><\/p>\n<p>AUD and NZD predominantly outperformed, with AUD bring the clear winner on more talk from China regarding future stimulus, with AUDUSD rising through and holding the big figure at 0.6700. AUD traders also positioning for the RBA policy decision due today at 14:30 AEST, \u00a0markets are currently split between a hike or hold following the lower than expected Aussie CPI data last week, with futures showing a 15.5% of a hike, but economists polled have it as much closer odds so could be an exciting meeting.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-401956\" src=\"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/rba.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"950\" height=\"838\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-401957\" src=\"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/audnzd.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1673\" height=\"742\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Todays Calendar below:<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-401953\" src=\"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.com\/au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/cal.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"950\" height=\"221\" \/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>USD rallied modestly into month end with DXY pushing to the top of its recent range to again test the big 102 resistance level. The data highlight out of the US was the Chicago PMI figure which rose from the prior 41.5 to 42.8, but missing expectations of 43.3. \u00a0in FedSpeak, \u00a0Governor Goolsbee added little [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":48,"featured_media":568840,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4289],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-568778","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-forex-trading"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v24.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>FX Analysis - USD Catches a Bid, AUD outperforms ahead of RBA, JPY struggles - GO Markets<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.ltd\/en-svg\/articles\/forex-trading\/fx-analysis-usd-catches-a-bid-aud-outperforms-ahead-of-rba-jpy-struggles\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"FX Analysis - USD Catches a Bid, AUD outperforms ahead of RBA, JPY struggles - GO Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"USD rallied modestly into month end with DXY pushing to the top of its recent range to again test the big 102 resistance level. The data highlight out of the US was the Chicago PMI figure which rose from the prior 41.5 to 42.8, but missing expectations of 43.3. \u00a0in FedSpeak, \u00a0Governor Goolsbee added little [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.ltd\/en-svg\/articles\/forex-trading\/fx-analysis-usd-catches-a-bid-aud-outperforms-ahead-of-rba-jpy-struggles\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"GO Markets\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2023-07-31T23:00:30+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2023-10-10T21:40:37+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.ltd\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/AdobeStock_142481183-1.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"770\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"475\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Lachlan Meakin\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Lachlan Meakin\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"4 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"NewsArticle\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.ltd\/en-svg\/articles\/forex-trading\/fx-analysis-usd-catches-a-bid-aud-outperforms-ahead-of-rba-jpy-struggles\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.ltd\/en-svg\/articles\/forex-trading\/fx-analysis-usd-catches-a-bid-aud-outperforms-ahead-of-rba-jpy-struggles\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Lachlan Meakin\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.ltd\/en-svg\/#\/schema\/person\/07b00a3510a85b406d03cd55b6af0b34\"},\"headline\":\"FX Analysis &#8211; 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The data highlight out of the US was the Chicago PMI figure which rose from the prior 41.5 to 42.8, but missing expectations of 43.3. \u00a0in FedSpeak, \u00a0Governor Goolsbee added little ","link":"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.ltd\/en-svg\/articles\/shares-and-indices\/nasdaq-cements-its-best-start-to-a-year-since-1975\/","type":"next","category":"shares-and-indices"},"previous":{"id":535019,"slug":"fx-analysis-usd-up-on-rising-yields-eur-down-on-dovish-ecb-jpy-surges-ahead-of-boj","title":"FX analysis \u2013 USD up on rising yields, EUR down on dovish ECB, JPY surges ahead of BoJ","date":"2023-07-28 10:14:09","excerpt":"USD rallied modestly into month end with DXY pushing to the top of its recent range to again test the big 102 resistance level. The data highlight out of the US was the Chicago PMI figure which rose from the prior 41.5 to 42.8, but missing expectations of 43.3. \u00a0in FedSpeak, \u00a0Governor Goolsbee added little ","link":"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.ltd\/en-svg\/articles\/forex-trading\/fx-analysis-usd-up-on-rising-yields-eur-down-on-dovish-ecb-jpy-surges-ahead-of-boj\/","type":"previous","category":"forex-trading"},"category":{"slug":"forex-trading"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.ltd\/en-svg\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/568778","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.ltd\/en-svg\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.ltd\/en-svg\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.ltd\/en-svg\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/48"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.ltd\/en-svg\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=568778"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.ltd\/en-svg\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/568778\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.ltd\/en-svg\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/568840"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.ltd\/en-svg\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=568778"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.ltd\/en-svg\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=568778"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.gomarkets.ltd\/en-svg\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=568778"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}