US equities snapped a 4-day winning streak as the “bad news is good news” narrative for equities faltered in Tuesdays session.
Before the cash session the JOLTS job openings figure was released and came in much lower than expected, this is a key gauge of US labour market tightness that the Fed has referenced throughout its aggressive interest rate hiking cycle, and was closely watched, especially ahead Fridays NFP figure.
Rate hike odds for May dropped to 40%, this was not enough to rescue equities though as recession fears took over , the Dow , Nasdaq and S&P 500 all finishing down around 0.5%
Equity markets weren’t helped either by comments from Jamie Dimon of JP Morgan in his annual letter to shareholders where he stated that the banking crisis “is not over yet” and would have “repercussions for years to come.” This saw small and mid size banking stocks take a big hit, dragging down the Russell 2000 by almost 2%
In Forex the repricing lower of rate expectations saw the USD lower in the session, with the US dollar index take a 101-handle hitting its lowest level since February and sitting on a critical support level.
Safe havens currencies the CHF and JPY, both outperformed the greenback on risk-off conditions
USD/CHF hovering around 0.9050, the bottom of the day’s range and another major support level, while USD/JPY hit a low of 131.53 as the Yen ran out of momentum just above the psychological 131.50 level.
The Aussie dollar was the clear laggard in wake of the RBA rate decision, where it held rates after 10 straight hikes. This saw the AUDNZD giving up all of Mondays gains and trading under 1.07 level, just above major support at 1.0670.
In commodities, Oil managed to hold it’s gains from Yesterdays gap up with the surprise voluntary cut by OPEC over the weekend continuing to underpin prices.
Gold was a big mover as a weaker dollar, lower rates and risk-off saw it smash through the top of it’s recent trading range, hitting it’s highest level in 12 months, settling around the 2020 USD an ounce level.
In todays economic announcements, more employment data from the US which again will be closely watched ahead of Fridays NFP, at the same time Canadian employment figures will be released, USDCAD traders beware. We also have a rate announcement from the RBNZ where a 25bp hike is expected and priced into the markets.
Disclaimer: Articles are from GO Markets analysts and contributors and are based on their independent analysis or personal experiences. Views, opinions or trading styles expressed are their own, and should not be taken as either representative of or shared by GO Markets. Advice, if any, is of a ‘general’ nature and not based on your personal objectives, financial situation or needs. Consider how appropriate the advice, if any, is to your objectives, financial situation and needs, before acting on the advice. If the advice relates to acquiring a particular financial product, you should obtain and consider the Product Disclosure Statement (PDS) and Financial Services Guide (FSG) for that product before making any decisions.
US markets continued to wobble in Wednesday’s session after another weak employment figure and a miss on Services PMI indicated the US economy might finally start to be slowing down after a year of aggressive hiking from the Federal Reserve. The Tech heavy and more risk sensitive Nasdaq led declines, closely followed by the Russell 2000 as reg...
XAUUSD Analysis 3 – 7 April 2023 The gold price trend can be viewed both positively and negatively in the short and medium term. As the closi...