Economic Updates
Asian session update – risk returns
Asian indices and US futures have bounced back so far in the session after gapping down at the open after the news that another US bank could be in trouble, namely PacWest, which I’m pretty sure we’ll be hearing more about in the coming days. The ASX200 has recovered from its negative open, helped by a strong trade balance figure and is curr...
US stocks tumble on Fed rate hike and “hawkish pause” – Futures down after market as banking crisis fears return
Asian equities are looking to open lower taking a lead from Wall St where US stocks finished in the red, with most losses coming after the FOMC decision late in the US session. The FOMC hiked rates 25bp as expected and released what was seen as a mostly dovish statement that left the door open for a pause, this saw market initially rally and cho...
US stocks slide on weak JOLTS report and lingering bank fears ahead of FOMC
Risk off returned as US stock indices were broadly lower in Tuesdays session on JOLTS job opening data showing a rapid weakening of the US labour market and regional banks again resuming their slide on lingering fears of the health of the sector. All four major indices finished well in the red, with the home of the aforementioned regional banks, th...
US stocks finish flat in choppy low volume session, JP Morgan buys First Republic
Major US indices finished little changed in a lighter than average session with London and Europe closed for the May Day holiday with traders looking ahead to a busy week in Central Bank action. The Dow Jones, S%P 500 and Nasdaq all finished modestly in the red, with the Russell 2000 being the only index to finish positively after a last-minute ...
Key events in the week ahead – ECB, RBA and FOMC
US stocks rallied into month-end on Friday with the VIX falling beneath 16 to finish off a volatile but ultimately positive month for global markets despite news of another bank collapse in the US. Risk appetite returned on mostly strong US earnings and the markets belief we are close to the end of Central Bank hiking cycles, the Dow Jones having i...
US equities fall on soft data and re-ignited banking fears
US stocks were broadly lower in Tuesday’s session as another US bank teetered on the verge of collapse and weak Consumer Confidence figures saw investors heading for the door. In a continuation of banking jitters, First Republic Bank (FRC) plunges to record lows after an earnings miss and reporting record deposit outflows seeing the stock pric...
Key Events in the Week Ahead – BoJ meeting, US GDP, Aussie CPI
Coming off a choppy and mostly directionless week for Global Markets, this coming week looks to be more of the same as we enter the Federal Reserve blackout period ahead of their pivotal meeting on May the 3rd. While the economic calendar is light, there are a few risk events that could see some volatility in the markets, starting Wednesday with...
Mixed earnings, weak data and hawkish Fed speak see US stocks finish lower
US stocks finished broadly lower in Thursday’s session in a choppy, low volume session as economic disappointed, Fed talking heads remained hawkish and a mixed batch of earnings. The biggest miss in earnings was Tesla (TSLA) who’s aggressive price cutting saw profit margins compress, seeing the auto giant down almost 10% on the session and t...
US Stocks finish mixed in choppy session after Hot UK CPI spooks the markets
Major US indexes finished mixed in a choppy session for equities and FX after a hotter than expected re-ignited inflation fears and a global hawkish re-pricing of risk assets. Decent earnings and the big bounce back in Netflix encouraged the “Buy the Dip” crowd, pulling stocks up from their lows to see the major US indexes finish mostly flat...
US stocks finish flat on hawkish Fed Speak and mixed data, Netflix has a wild ride on earnings
Tuesday’s session ultimately saw little change in major US indexes in an impressive round trip that initially saw a higher opening as strong Chinese GDP figures cheered investors, only to sell off on Hawkish Fed Speak and mixed earnings results before recovering somewhat to finish (mostly) modestly lower, with only the S&P 500 able to eke out...
Key events in the week ahead – Activity data dominates
After last week’s Inflation themed calendar, we head into the new week where the main theme will be activity data with a raft of manufacturing and services PMI figures from the UK, Eurozone and the US. some of which will help determine what happens at the forthcoming round of central bank rate decisions in the coming weeks. USA With the mar...
Tech leads US Stocks higher on soft PPI and employment figures, Gold surges towards all time high
A significantly softer than expected PPI print confirming Wednesdays CPI saw the green light for risk on in Thursday’s session and saw a broad rally in risk assets. All major US indexes rallied strongly with the Tech heavy NASDAQ outperforming while the S&P 500 closing at its highest level since February. The March producer price index...
US Stocks give up gains on cool CPI as Fed minutes stoke recession fears
Major US stock indices slid in Wednesday’s session after a cooler than expected CPI figure gave them a boost only run out of steam and ultimately finish in the red after Fed minutes stoked recession fears. The Dow outperformed it’s peers, down around 38 points as investors continued to favour defensive stocks over more risk sensitive growth sto...
US stocks choppy in a low volatility session ahead of pivotal CPI and FOMC minutes
US equities traded in tight ranges in a low volume session as traders remained cautious ahead of Wednesdays pivotal CPI figure out the US, followed by the release of FOMC minutes a few hours later. Major indices eventually finished mixed with the defensive Dow and recently battered Russell 2000 finishing in the green, whilst the S&P500 and N...
US stocks reverse weak opening to end slightly higher in first reaction after NFP beat
US markets opened on Monday after a holiday break to the news of a resilient US labour market after a beat in the NFP figure released on Friday. Nonfarm payrolls grew by 236,000 for the month, above the 228k expected, while the unemployment rate fell to 3.5%, where a hold of 3.6% was expected. This saw rate hike expectations from the FOMC at ...